United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi, 2024
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March 12, 2024 |
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November 5, 2024 |
2024 U.S. House Elections |
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The U.S. House of Representatives elections in Mississippi were on November 5, 2024. Voters elected four candidates to serve in the U.S. House from each of the state's four U.S. House districts. The primary was March 12, 2024, and a primary runoff was April 2, 2024. The general runoff was November 26, 2024. The filing deadline was January 12, 2024.
Partisan breakdown
| Members of the U.S. House from Mississippi -- Partisan Breakdown | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | As of November 2024 | After the 2024 Election | |
| Democratic Party | 1 | 1 | |
| Republican Party | 3 | 3 | |
| Total | 4 | 4 | |
Candidates
District 1
General election candidates
- Trent Kelly (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Dianne Black (Democratic Party)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Democratic primary candidates
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Republican primary candidates
- Trent Kelly (Incumbent) ✔
District 2
General election candidates
- Bennie Thompson (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- Ronald Eller (Republican Party)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey Republican primary runoff candidates
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey Democratic primary candidates
- Bennie Thompson (Incumbent) ✔
Republican primary candidates
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
District 3
General election candidates
- Michael Guest (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
Democratic primary candidates
The Democratic Party primary was canceled. No candidates filed for this race.
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
- Michael Guest (Incumbent) ✔
District 4
General election candidates
- Mike Ezell (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Craig Raybon (Democratic Party)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey Democratic primary candidates
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey Republican primary candidates
- Mike Ezell (Incumbent) ✔
- Carl Boyanton
- Michael McGill
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Mississippi
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]
Click the following links to see the race ratings in each of the state's U.S. House districts:
- Mississippi's 1st Congressional District
- Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District
- Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District
- Mississippi's 4th Congressional District
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Mississippi in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Mississippi, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| Mississippi | U.S. House | Democratic | N/A | $500.00 | 1/12/2024 | Source |
| Mississippi | U.S. House | Republican | N/A | $2,500.00 | 1/12/2024 | Source |
| Mississippi | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 200 | $500.00 | 1/12/2024 | Source |
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about competitiveness, presidential election history, and party control in the state.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state's U.S. House districts.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Mississippi.
| Mississippi U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
| 2024 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 37.5% | 1 | 25.0% | ||||
| 2022 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 87.5% | 4 | 100.0% | ||||
| 2020 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 62.5% | 3 | 75.0% | ||||
| 2018 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 37.5% | 1 | 33.3% | ||||
| 2016 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 37.5% | 2 | 50.0% | ||||
| 2014 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 75.0% | 3 | 75.0% | ||||
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Mississippi in 2024. Information below was calculated on March 7, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Twelve candidates filed to run for Mississippi’s four U.S. House districts, including four Democrats and eight Republicans. That's three candidates per district, less than in the previous three election cycles. There were 5.75 candidates per district in 2022, 3.75 candidates per district in 2020, and 3.5 candidates per district in 2018.
No seats were open in 2024, meaning all incumbents ran for re-election. There was one House seat open in 2018, the only election cycle this decade in which a House seat was open.
Three primaries—one Democratic and two Republican—were contested, the fewest since 2018. Between 2014 and 2022, an average of 4.8 primaries were contested.
One incumbent—Mike Ezell (R)—faced a primary challenger. That’s fewer than in 2022 when four incumbents faced challengers.
The 3rd district was guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats appeared on the ballot. Republicans filed to run in every congressional district, meaning none were guaranteed to Democrats.| Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Mississippi, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| District | Incumbent | Party | PVI |
| Mississippi's 1st | Trent Kelly |  Republican |
R+18 |
| Mississippi's 2nd | Bennie Thompson |  Democratic |
D+11 |
| Mississippi's 3rd | Michael Guest | Republican |
R+15 |
| Mississippi's 4th | Mike Ezell | Republican |
R+22 |
| 2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2024 district lines, Mississippi[5] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Joe Biden
|
Donald Trump
| ||
| Mississippi's 1st | 33.4% | 65.1% | ||
| Mississippi's 2nd | 62.5% | 36.4% | ||
| Mississippi's 3rd | 37.2% | 61.5% | ||
| Mississippi's 4th | 30.3% | 68.2% | ||
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Mississippi's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Mississippi | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Republican | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 4 | 6 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Mississippi's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
| State executive officials in Mississippi, April 2024 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | Tate Reeves
|
| Lieutenant Governor | Delbert Hosemann
|
| Secretary of State | Michael D. Watson Jr.
|
| Attorney General | Lynn Fitch
|
State legislature
Mississippi State Senate
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 16 | |
| Republican Party | 36 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 52 | |
Mississippi House of Representatives
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 41 | |
| Republican Party | 79 | |
| Independent | 2 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 122 | |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Mississippi Party Control: 1992-2024
Four years of Democratic trifectas • Thirteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R[6] | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed December 15, 2023
- ↑ Republicans gained a majority in 2007 when two Democratic state senators switched their party affiliation. Democrats regained the majority as a result of the 2007 elections.
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