Minnesota gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2018
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 16 , or in-person on Nov. 6
- Early voting: Sept. 21 - Nov. 5
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: Yes
- Voter ID: No
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.
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Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Minnesota |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: June 5, 2018 |
Primary: August 14, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent(s): Gov. Mark Dayton (Democrat) Lt. Gov. Michelle Fischbach (Republican) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Minnesota |
Race ratings |
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Democratic Inside Elections: Likely Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
Federal and state primary competitiveness State executive elections in 2018 Impact of term limits in 2018 State government trifectas State government triplexes Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
Minnesota executive elections |
Governor Lieutenant governor |
Rep. Tim Walz (D) defeated Hennepin County Commissioner Jeff Johnson (R), Josh Welter (L), and Chris Wright (Grassroots) in the general election on November 6, 2018, for governor of Minnesota.
Incumbent Mark Dayton (D) did not file for election to a third term in 2018, leaving the seat open. Dayton was last elected in 2014, defeating Johnson by a margin of 6 percentage points. Of the ten preceding gubernatorial elections, a Republican candidate won five, a Democratic candidate won four—including Dayton's victories in 2010 and 2014—and an independent candidate won one.
The last time a Minnesota gubernatorial election was won by a candidate of the outgoing governor's political party was in 1946 when Luther Youngdahl (R) was elected to succeed Edward John Thye (R). In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) carried the state by a margin of 1.5 percentage points.
Walz's victory preserved the state's divided government. At the time of the election, Minnesota had been under divided government since Democrats lost their majority in the state house in 2015. The winner of this election stood to influence the state's redistricting process following the 2020 census. Under Minnesota state law, the governor may veto congressional and state legislative district maps proposed by the state legislature.
Minnesota was one of 36 states that held an election for governor in 2018. Democrats gained seven previously Republican-held seats, and Republicans gained one previously independent-held seat. Heading into the 2018 elections, there were 16 Democratic governors, 33 Republican governors, and one independent governor. In 2018, 26 of the 33 states with a Republican governor held a gubernatorial election, while nine out of the 16 states with a Democratic governor held a gubernatorial election. Seventeen of the 36 seats up for election were open seats (four Democratic, 12 Republican, and one independent), meaning that the sitting governor was not seeking re-election. Click here for more information on other 2018 gubernatorial elections.
For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
For more information about the Republican primary, click here.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for Governor of Minnesota
Tim Walz defeated Jeff Johnson, Chris Wright, and Josh Welter in the general election for Governor of Minnesota on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Tim Walz (D) | 53.8 | 1,393,096 |
![]() | Jeff Johnson (R) | 42.4 | 1,097,705 | |
![]() | Chris Wright (Grassroots Party) | 2.7 | 68,667 | |
Josh Welter (L) | 1.0 | 26,735 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.0 | 1,084 |
Total votes: 2,587,287 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Christopher Seymore (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for Governor of Minnesota
Tim Walz defeated Erin Murphy, Lori Swanson, Tim Holden, and Ole Savior in the Democratic primary for Governor of Minnesota on August 14, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Tim Walz | 41.6 | 242,832 |
![]() | Erin Murphy | 32.0 | 186,969 | |
![]() | Lori Swanson | 24.6 | 143,517 | |
![]() | Tim Holden | 1.1 | 6,398 | |
![]() | Ole Savior | 0.7 | 4,019 |
Total votes: 583,735 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Tina Liebling (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for Governor of Minnesota
Jeff Johnson defeated Tim Pawlenty and Matt Kruse in the Republican primary for Governor of Minnesota on August 14, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jeff Johnson | 52.6 | 168,841 |
![]() | Tim Pawlenty | 43.9 | 140,743 | |
Matt Kruse | 3.5 | 11,330 |
Total votes: 320,914 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
Candidate profiles
Party: Democratic
Incumbent: No
Political office: U.S. House of Representatives (2007-Present)
Biography: After his graduation from high school, Walz joined the Army National Guard and started working as a school teacher. After graduating from Chadron State College in 1989, Walz spent one year teaching in China. Walz continued to teach in the United States, earning his master's degree from Minnesota State University in 2001 before being deployed in Operation Enduring Freedom.
- Walz described his campaign as an effort to unify the state, saying on his campaign website's homepage that he and his running mate Peggy Flanagan "are running for Governor and Lieutenant Governor to make our vision of One Minnesota a reality."[1][2]
- In campaign materials, Walz referred to Republicans in general and President Trump in particular as bullies and promised to oppose their policies.[3]
- Walz pointed voters to his background, describing himself as "the highest-ranking enlisted service member ever to serve in Congress, an award-winning high-school teacher, a champion football coach, and a leader in Congress."[1]
Party: Republican
Incumbent: No
Political office: Hennepin County Commission (2009-Present), Minnesota House of Representatives (2001-2007)
Biography: Johnson graduated from Concordia College in 1989 and obtained a law degree from Georgetown Law School in 1992. In 2001, he founded Midwest Employment Resources, a firm providing human resources services.
- Johnson described his run as an effort to reshape the state government, saying in a video ad during the primary that his goal was "to bring fundamental, generational change to a government that has become arrogant, out of touch and completely broken."[4]
- Johnson pointed voters to his background, saying that on the Hennepin County Commission he "is always engaged in the fight for fiscal sanity and responsibility, increased government accountability and requiring that county programs actually produce measurable results."[5]
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Minnesota Governor, 2018 | |||||||||||||||||||
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Poll | Poll sponsor | Tim Walz (D) | Jeff Johnson (R) | Josh Welter (L) | Chris Wright (I) | Undecided/Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size | |||||||||||
SurveyUSA (October 29-31, 2018) | KSTP | 49% | 41% | 0% | 0% | 9% | +/-5.3 | 1,000 | |||||||||||
Mason-Dixon Polling and Research (October 15-17, 2018) | The Star Tribune and Minnesota Public Radio | 45% | 39% | 3% | 2% | 12% | +/-3.5 | 800 | |||||||||||
Change Research (October 12-13, 2018) | N/A | 47% | 44% | 3% | 4% | 2% | +/--- | 1,413 | |||||||||||
Marist College (September 30 - October 4, 2018) | NBC News | 49% | 37% | 7% | 0% | 7% | +/-4.2 | 860 | |||||||||||
Star Tribune and Minnesota Public Radio (September 10-12, 2018) | N/A | 45% | 36% | 1% | 2% | 16% | +/-3.5 | 800 | |||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the question was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to [email protected] |
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PredictIt Prices
This section provides the PredictIt market prices for this race during the three months leading up to the election. PredictIt is a site where people make and trade predictions on political and financial events. Market prices reflect the probability, based on PredictIt users' predictions, that a candidate will win a race. For example, a market price of $0.60 for Candidate A is equivalent to a 60 percent probability that Candidate A will win.
Campaign finance
The following chart shows campaign finance information obtained from the Minnesota Campaign Finance and Public Disclosure Board covering all contributions and expenditures made between January 1, 2018, and September 18, 2018.
In addition to the figures reported below as contributions, three candidates entered 2018 with existing funds in their campaign accounts:
- Jeff Johnson (R) entered 2018 with $179,763.24 in his campaign account.
- Tim Walz (D) entered 2018 with $488,194.57 in his campaign account.
- Chris Wright (I) entered 2018 with $1,391.86 in his campaign account.
Satellite spending
Satellite spending, commonly referred to as outside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[6][7][8]
This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, please email us.
- A Better Minnesota funded a television ad campaign opposed to Johnson in September 2018. The Star Tribune reported the ad buy as "in the high six figures".[9]
- The Minnesota Victory PAC reported spending $311,000 on advertising in support of Tim Walz (D) as of September 17, 2018.[10]
- The Republican Governors Association made a $2.3 million reservation of airtime on April 9, 2018.[11] On October 1, 2018, the group cancelled all ad reservations it had scheduled for dates before October 23.[12] On October 11, 2018, the group cancelled all ad reservations it had scheduled for dates before October 31.[13] It canceled all remaining ad buys on October 18, 2018.[14]
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[15]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[16][17][18]
Race ratings: Minnesota gubernatorial election, 2018 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 5, 2018 | October 30, 2018 | October 23, 2018 | October 16, 2018 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season. |
Noteworthy endorsements
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.
These are notable endorsements that were issued after the Democratic and Republican primaries concluded.
For more endorsements, see the following pages:
Noteworthy general election endorsements | ||||||
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Endorsement | Walz | Johnson | ||||
Newspapers and editorials | ||||||
The Star Tribune[19] | ✔ | |||||
Elected officials | ||||||
President Donald Trump (R)[20] | ✔ |
Timeline
- November 2, 2018: Johnson and Walz met for a debate in St. Paul.
- November 1, 2018: A SurveyUSA poll sponsored by KSTP found Walz apparently leading Johnson, with 49 percent support to Johnson's 41 percent. The poll reported a margin of error of 5.3 percentage points.
- October 26, 2018: The Star Tribune endorsed Walz.
- October 21, 2018: A Mason-Dixon Polling and Research poll sponsored by the Star Tribune and Minnesota Public Radio found Walz apparently leading Johnson with 45 percent support to Johnson's 39 percent. The poll reported a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.
- October 18, 2018: The Republican Governors Association canceled all remaining ad buys in the state.
- October 14, 2018: A Change Research poll found Walz leading Johnson 47-44. The poll did not report a margin of error.
- October 11, 2018: The Republican Governors Association canceled all ad reservations it had through October 30.
- October 10, 2018: An NBC News/Marist College poll found Walz leading Johnson 49-37. The poll reported a margin of error of 4.2 percentage points.
- October 4, 2018: President Trump (R) appeared alongside Johnson at a rally in Rochester.
- October 1, 2018: The Republican Governors Association canceled all ad reservations it had through October 23.
- September 25, 2018: The candidates filed campaign reports containing information on all contributions and expenditures between July 23, 2018, and September 18, 2018.
- September 18, 2018: Minnesota Action Network released an ad titled Tim Walz: Not For Us. The ad said that Walz had voted against a tax cut, was not opposed to an estate tax, and supported increasing the gas tax.
- September 19, 2018: Johnson and Walz met for a debate hosted by the TwinWest Chamber of Commerce.
- September 16, 2018: A Star Tribune and Minnesota Public Radio poll found Walz apparently leading Johnson, with 47 percent support to Johnson's 40 percent. The poll reported a margin of error of 4.9 percentage points.
- August 31, 2018: Johnson and Walz met for a debate at the Minnesota State Fair.
- August 17, 2018: Johnson and Walz met for a debate in St. Paul.
Campaign advertisements
This section shows advertisements released in this race. Ads released by campaigns and, if applicable, satellite groups are embedded or linked below. If you are aware of advertisements that should be included, please email us.
Tim Walz
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Jeff Johnson
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Noteworthy events
Donald Trump campaign appearance
President Donald Trump (R) made a campaign appearance alongside Johnson at a rally in Rochester on October 4, 2018.[21] Click here for footage of the rally.
Debates and forums
- Johnson and Walz met for a debate in St. Paul on November 2, 2018. Click here for footage of the debate.
- Johnson and Walz met for a debate hosted by the TwinWest Chamber of Commerce on September 19, 2018. Click here for footage of the debate.
- Johnson and Walz met for a debate at the Minnesota State Fair on August 31, 2018. Click here for footage of the debate.
- Johnson and Walz met for a debate in St. Paul on August 17, 2018. Click here for footage of the debate.
Campaign themes
Tim Walz
Walz's campaign website stated the following:
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Agriculture Agriculture and rural communities are vital to Minnesota’s economy and way of life. We live in one of the most fertile and productive agricultural regions in the world and our farmers are some of the best at producing the food, feed, fuel and fiber we all depend on. Agriculture contributes over $121 billion in economic activity and supports over 400,000 jobs across our state. Minnesota is a state that was built on the strength of its agricultural sector and we need to ensure that our family farmers and rural communities are able to compete in the global marketplace. The Walz Flanagan Administration will:
American Indian Issues In order to address the problems Minnesotans face, our government has to look like Minnesota. Tim and Peggy will ensure that Minnesota’s Native communities are treated with dignity, as sovereign nations and have equitable access to positions in state government. That starts with the ticket: when elected Lt. Governor, Peggy Flanagan will be the highest ranking female Native American in the history of the United States. The Walz Flanagan Administration will:
Childcare Every Minnesotan deserves access to affordable, quality child care. And they deserve to live in a community that allows them to put their children first. That’s a smart investment for all of us—and our future. Too many families struggle to find child care they can afford and to take leave to be with their children when they are born. Minnesota has some of the most expensive and hard-to-find child care services in the country, especially in rural areas where whole communities may be devoid of child care options. This is more than a family challenge—it’s a social and economic issue for our state. It impacts parents’ ability to work, families’ ability to achieve financial security, and children’s readiness for kindergarten. We know that there is no smarter investment for our state than ensuring our littlest citizens have access to safe, robust care whether from their parents or child care programs that allow parents to continue to work and remain independent. The Walz Flanagan Administration will support families by working to make child care more affordable and accessible for all. Tim and Peggy will:
Economy Minnesota’s economy is one of the strongest in the country. Our unemployment rate and job growth have outpaced our neighbors. Our state is strong because our investments pay off, whether it’s funding our children’s education, our communities’ services, or our state’s infrastructure. But we can—and should—do more. Our economy leaves behind disadvantaged people in many pockets of the state. Residents face a lack of housing from North Mankato to North Minneapolis. Child care is out of reach for families from Alexandria to Apple Valley, and a college education is too expensive for young people across the state. Rather than let emerging problems divide our state, we see that they unite us to act. Our state’s future depends on all of us coming together to tackle these challenges. It’s the right thing to do, and it helps all of our residents be part of our state’s economy. The Walz Flanagan Administration will continue Minnesota’s leadership in progressive action, securing broad prosperity for all. Tim and Peggy will:
Education As a 20 year classroom high school teacher, Tim is deeply committed to the success of every student. Education is personal to him. Minnesota is consistently rated as one of the best places to be an educator in the entire country. We should be proud of our educators and the work they put in to make sure Minnesota has the best trained workforce in the world. Minnesota continues to have some of the highest performing students in the nation. But our state also continues to have an opportunity gap that leaves too many children of color and children from greater Minnesota behind. Closing the opportunity gap must be a top priority. These challenges are real. But Minnesotans can come together to solve them. The Walz Flanagan Administration will:
Energy, Environment, And Climate Creating a sustainable future does not require picking winner and losers. It requires us to work together. We can combat climate change, protect our lakes, rivers, and streams, and build an environmentally just Minnesota, but only if every Minnesotan has a seat at the table and has the opportunity to have their voice heard. All too often environmental issues—from climate change to public land management—are framed as issues that divide us. Rural versus urban. Pro-job versus pro-environment. These are false divisions. We are One Minnesota. In Congress, Tim represented a rural district but he also worked tirelessly to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and protect our public lands since his first day in office. He did this by listening to his constituents, finding common ground on complex issues—everyone wants clean air and clean water—and building broad coalitions to support environmental policies that benefit us all. Minnesota has long been recognized for its environmental stewardship and as Governor and Lt. Governor, Tim and Peggy will continue to address our environmental issues head on and work with all Minnesotans to create solutions. The Walz Flanagan Administration will:
Gun Violence Prevention Gun Violence is taking an increasing toll on our communities. When any Minnesotan dies from gun violence, it’s a tragedy for all Minnesotans. Tim has taken some heat over his record on guns in the DFL primary. so it’s important to have a clear understanding of the facts. Yes, Tim has received campaign contributions from the NRA in his past congressional campaigns. He has donated all of the campaign contributions he received from the NRA to the Intrepid Fallen Heroes Fund, which supports families of those who are injured or killed representing our nation in uniform. He will not accept any additional campaign contributions from the NRA. In fact, he expects them to spend a lot of money trying to defeat him. The most crucial element to look at is Tim’s record on taking action to prevent gun violence. Here are the facts: In Congress, Tim has supported common sense gun violence prevention measures for years. He’s done that by: Voting in support of universal background checks Voting for “No Fly, No Buy” legislation Voting to fund the CDC to study gun violence Voting against Concealed Carry reciprocity that would allow gun owners from states with Concealed Carry laws on the book to to take their guns across state lines into states without such laws. Being an original co-sponsor on the bill to ban so-called “bump stocks” In addition to his work on this issue in Congress, there are things that we can do here in Minnesota. The Walz Flanagan Administration wants to keep families safe and let Minnesotans enjoy their Second Amendment rights:
Health Care Minnesotans cannot reach their full potential if they’re struggling to access affordable, quality health care. We have made great progress in ensuring more Minnesotans than ever before can access health coverage; now we need to bring our brightest health care experts together with Minnesota’s working families to find solutions to new health care challenges. Too many Minnesota families are priced out of the health care market—forced to purchase expensive health insurance for their family rather than pay this month’s college tuition bill. Too many Minnesotans must drive hours for a simple doctor’s office visit or, more importantly, to ensure their new baby is born in a facility equipped to handle it. Of course, no Minnesotan hopes to use our health care system. But when they do, they want it to be affordable, they want it to be close to home, and they want to get better quickly. Minnesota might rank among one of the healthiest states in the union, but many Minnesotans are suffering from significant health disparities and a lack of adequate mental health care services. We can and must do better. The Walz Flanagan Administration will:
LGBTQ Minnesotans In 1996, Tim Walz formed the Gay Straight Alliance at Mankato West High School after one of his students came out as gay. In 2005, during his first run for Congress, Tim campaigned in support of full marriage equality when the issue was far from politically safe. Peggy helped build the Vote No (against the proposed statewide marriage ban) campaign in 2012- and joined with faith leaders across the state to defeat the proposed amendment. In Congress, Tim was a leader on repealing Don’t Ask Don’t Tell and was a leading voice against Donald Trump’s hateful transgender troop ban. It’s clear that the fight has now moved to protecting transgender Minnesotans – Tim and Peggy will be there every step of the way. The Walz Flanagan Administration wants every Minnesotan to feel safe in their communities, regardless of sexual orientation and gender identity:
Racial Equity Let’s create an administration that looks like Minnesota. In order to address the problems face by Minnesotans, our government has to look like Minnesota. Tim and Peggy will ensure that people of color have equitable access to positions in state government. That starts with the top of the ticket: when elected Lt. Governor, Peggy Flanagan will be the highest ranking female Native American in the history of the United States. As Minnesotans, one of our core values is fairness. Unfortunately, we haven’t yet been able to live up to that value when it comes to racial equity. People of color and indigenous people in Minnesota experience disparities in almost all facets of life. Whether it’s educational outcomes, injustice in our criminal justice reform system, or lack of representation by people of color and indigenous people in our government, Minnesota has a lot of work to do to achieve equity. We have to stop viewing racial disparities as a problem that only impacts Minnesotans of color and indigenous Minnesotans and start realizing that it’s an issue that affects all of us. The Walz Flanagan Administration will:
Transportation Our transportation network provides the critical connections that enable Minnesotans to get to and from home, work, school and the things we enjoy most in life. Whether traveling by car, bus, bike, rail or boat, Minnesotans rely on a well-maintained transportation system to get ourselves where we’re going. For too long, the fight at the Capitol has been over how to divide the pie of transportation dollars between rural and urban Minnesotans and between mass transit and roads. That’s the wrong debate. The debate should be about which investments most improve our transit and transportation systems and how those investments can connect more people to opportunities to improve their lives. Our transit and transportation systems work together to move us around this beautiful state and we need both systems to be robust and reliable. We must also solve the funding gap. Today, Minnesota no longer raises enough revenue from the gas tax to do much more than maintain our extensive road network. If we want to expand the capacity of our urban freeways, reduce crashes at major suburban intersections, or build new roads connecting one rural town to another, we have to stop fighting over how to divide the pie and start working together to grow the pie. The Walz Flanagan Administration will:
Wages, Benefits, And Workers' Rights Minnesotans believe that all families should have the opportunity to thrive. Parents should have the time to eat dinner with their kids and help with homework. Grown children should be able to take care of an ailing parent. And every Minnesotan deserves time to welcome a new child into the world Increasingly, some of these simple, basic Minnesota values seem to have fallen by the wayside. The Walz Flanagan Administration will fight to make sure everyone has the chance to thrive – Tim and Peggy will:
Veterans The One Minnesota Veterans’ Opportunity and Care Plan will help make Minnesota a national leader in state-provided care and services for veterans. The One Minnesota Veterans’ Opportunity and Care plan has three main components: Improving Care and Opportunity, Honoring Families, and Building Coalitions. Reinvigorating State Veterans Homes: Veterans homes provide long-term care services for Minnesota’s veterans. As Governor, Tim will protect and expand the services of Minnesota Veterans Homes by:
Increasing Funding for County Veterans Service Officers (CVSOs): CVSOs mission is to work one-on-one with Minnesota veterans and their families to help them apply for and obtain the benefits to which they are entitled, including assisting with suicide prevention education and outreach for veterans suffering from PTSD and addiction issues. Tim knows the support CVSOs provide is critical and as Governor, Walz will work to provide additional support for County Veterans Service Officers by:
Increasing Quality of Life for Disabled Veterans: Disabled veterans currently only receive a discount on hunting, fishing, and trapping licenses if their service-connected disability rating is 100% or more. As governor, Walz would work to lower the threshold so that more disabled veterans can enjoy the great outdoors and improve their quality of life. Partnering with Labor: Ensuring veterans can find a job and provide for their families is critical. That is why as Governor, Tim Walz will partner with labor and other private organizations to ensure programs that connect veterans with good paying jobs, like Helmets to Hardhats, are getting the support they need to succeed. Providing for Surviving Spouses: Currently, the Homestead Market Value Exclusion for surviving spouses is capped at 8 years. As Governor, Tim Walz would make this exclusion permanent by eliminating the eight-year cap. This change would allow the surviving spouse to receive the exclusion until they remarry, sell, transfer or otherwise dispose of the property. Protecting Military Beneficiaries: As Governor, Tim Walz would crack down on bad actors trying to scam people out of money in the name of helping veterans and active military personnel. He would do this by:
State Veterans Cemeteries: Ensuring each and every eligible Minnesota veteran and their family has the opportunity to be buried in such a cemetery if they choose honors the service and sacrifice of our veterans and their family. As Governor, Tim Walz will build off his work in Congress helping to start the Veterans Cemetery in Preston, MN by protecting and expanding the services of the Minnesota State Veterans Cemeteries. Veterans Advisory Council and Inter-agency Roundtable Meeting: Tim Walz or a member of his administration will convene a quarterly meeting and invite representatives of local, county, state and federal governments— along with the private sector and veterans’ advocates—to join him in collaborating around how we can continue to improve our advocacy on behalf of Minnesota’s veterans. The purpose will be to share best practices, identify any holes in services and benefits, and develop solutions.[22] |
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—Tim Walz for Governor[23] |
Jeff Johnson
Johnson's campaign website stated the following:
“ |
My Principles
Taxes & Spending I believe we need to cut taxes and reduce the size and power of government. We’ll start by cutting income taxes, the death tax and license tab fees, ending the taxation of social security benefits and instituting an Automatic Taxpayer Refund when government over-taxes Minnesotans. Taxes and spending issues are not only economic, they are moral. Empowering Minnesotans starts with us deciding how our hard-earned money is spent--not government. Reducing spending levels and increasing take-home pay will result in a badly needed explosion of economic activity, growth, and opportunity. Jobs Whether it’s taxes, regulations or a government attitude of helping rather than antagonizing job creators, I will work every day as your governor to make Minnesota’s business climate competitive with those states that surround us. Government Reform Achieving this fundamental change will be the overriding mission of the Johnson Administration. As a start, I will push for term limits, initiate a top-to-bottom audit of the programs Minnesota taxpayers fund and veto any omnibus bill that does not adhere to the single-subject rule. And most importantly, we will rein in arrogant state agencies like the DNR, MPCA and every other bureaucracy that doesn't understand they exist to serve us, not control us. K-12 Education To begin this process, we will radically simplify our K-12 education funding formula, start to eliminate some of the many state mandates on our schools and teachers, and do everything possible to allow real education choice for every parent in Minnesota. As governor, I will confront head-on the political indoctrination of our kids in some of our public schools. The Constitution Healthcare I will work to return the power over health care to patients and citizens, and take advantage of federal waivers allowing Minnesota to abandon the provisions of Obamacare that have limited choice and increased costs. I will also start negotiating with other Midwestern states to increase competition by creating an interstate compact to sell and buy insurance across state lines. Transportation The Johnson Administration will put a moratorium on light rail and focus transit money on a first-class bus system. In the Metro, I’ll base my transportation funding decisions on projects that relieve congestion and provide mobility to the citizens of Minnesota. Life Immigration The federal refugee resettlement program in Minnesota has become very divisive and problematic. Minnesota has been extremely open to refugees in recent years: Minnesota has 2% of the nation's population, but 13% of the nation's refugees. In addition, in the most recent two-year period, Minnesota's secondary refugee migration (those who came first to another state but moved to Minnesota) was greater than all 49 other states combined. And the cost to communities has been very substantial. For these reasons I have called for an IMMEDIATE STOP to the refugee resettlement program in Minnesota. As governor, I will meet with President Trump and Attorney General Sessions to explain this situation in detail and inform them that our participation in the program will end until we tell them otherwise. Public Safety While I have always supported alternatives to incarceration for low-level, nonviolent offenders and believe strongly in providing second chances for those who make mistakes, we have one of the lowest incarceration rates in the country and violent criminals must be locked up and very violent criminals must be locked up for a very long time. Under my administration, Minnesota will be a safe place for law-abiding citizens and a terrible place for violent criminals. Agriculture and Natural Resources That’s not to say that farming, logging and mining are the only parts of the economy that matter, but they provide the rock-solid foundation upon which many other industries have been built. Yet government is doing little but getting in the way of people who work the land. Government permitting too often harasses farmers, miners lose jobs because of bureaucrats and regulations and loggers often are treated as pariahs. I grew up in rural Minnesota. I know what a blessing our natural resources are, and that the people whose livelihoods depend upon using them are better stewards of the land than any bureaucrat in St. Paul. I believe we can have copper/nickel mining in Northern Minnesota AND protect our environment. I'll be an advocate as governor to move these projects forward. Second Amendment Self-defense is a fundamental individual right and creating new “gun control” restrictions on law-abiding citizens will only leave guns in the hands of criminals. Metropolitan Council We cannot “tinker” with the Met Council. It must go.[22] |
” |
—Johnson for Governor[24] |
Social media
Twitter accounts
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Facebook accounts
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Other 2018 statewide elections
This race took place in one of twenty-two states that held elections for both governor and U.S. Senate in 2018.
A table of where these elections occurred, the names of incumbents prior to the 2018 elections, and links to our coverage of these races can be viewed by clicking "[show]" on the banner below:
Democratic winning streak
Walz's victory in the general election was the third in a series beginning with Mark Dayton's (D) victory in 2010. This is the third time in state history that Democrats have won three consecutive gubernatorial elections, with the other two winning streaks occurring in 1904-1908 and 1954-1958. The longest Republican winning streak in state history was 19 elections, occurring between 1859 and 1896.
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Nineteen of 87 Minnesota counties—21.8 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
Beltrami County, Minnesota | 9.72% | 9.89% | 10.15% | ||||
Blue Earth County, Minnesota | 3.69% | 9.48% | 12.95% | ||||
Chippewa County, Minnesota | 28.70% | 1.87% | 5.87% | ||||
Clay County, Minnesota | 1.95% | 7.92% | 16.02% | ||||
Fillmore County, Minnesota | 21.70% | 7.34% | 8.26% | ||||
Freeborn County, Minnesota | 17.24% | 14.11% | 17.13% | ||||
Houston County, Minnesota | 13.87% | 3.16% | 10.69% | ||||
Itasca County, Minnesota | 16.35% | 9.83% | 12.92% | ||||
Kittson County, Minnesota | 22.05% | 6.03% | 18.54% | ||||
Koochiching County, Minnesota | 19.85% | 9.45% | 10.10% | ||||
Lac qui Parle County, Minnesota | 25.60% | 0.90% | 5.92% | ||||
Mahnomen County, Minnesota | 2.92% | 18.56% | 25.31% | ||||
Mower County, Minnesota | 7.82% | 22.61% | 23.61% | ||||
Nicollet County, Minnesota | 3.04% | 7.83% | 10.52% | ||||
Norman County, Minnesota | 13.34% | 10.79% | 26.94% | ||||
Rice County, Minnesota | 3.06% | 8.27% | 11.50% | ||||
Swift County, Minnesota | 25.57% | 9.83% | 13.79% | ||||
Traverse County, Minnesota | 23.30% | 4.44% | 5.41% | ||||
Winona County, Minnesota | 2.90% | 12.85% | 19.09% |
In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Minnesota with 46.4 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 44.9 percent. In presidential elections between 1860 and 2016, Minnesota voted Republican 50 percent of the time and Democratic 47.5 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Minnesota voted Democratic all five times.[25]
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Minnesota. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[26][27]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 68 out of 134 state House districts in Minnesota with an average margin of victory of 27.6 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 62 out of 134 state House districts in Minnesota with an average margin of victory of 30.4 points. Clinton won 12 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 66 out of 134 state House districts in Minnesota with an average margin of victory of 12.3 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 72 out of 134 state House districts in Minnesota with an average margin of victory of 23.8 points. Trump won seven districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1A | 43.15% | 54.54% | R+11.4 | 27.87% | 64.99% | R+37.1 | R |
1B | 46.10% | 51.92% | R+5.8 | 31.45% | 61.37% | R+29.9 | R |
2A | 48.08% | 50.09% | R+2 | 33.59% | 60.04% | R+26.4 | R |
2B | 42.17% | 56.05% | R+13.9 | 29.64% | 64.36% | R+34.7 | R |
3A | 55.31% | 42.36% | D+13 | 43.14% | 49.65% | R+6.5 | D |
3B | 60.19% | 38.11% | D+22.1 | 50.13% | 42.59% | D+7.5 | D |
4A | 55.32% | 42.31% | D+13 | 48.97% | 41.71% | D+7.3 | D |
4B | 46.65% | 51.41% | R+4.8 | 35.41% | 57.18% | R+21.8 | D |
5A | 52.05% | 45.83% | D+6.2 | 39.67% | 51.97% | R+12.3 | R |
5B | 49.48% | 48.58% | D+0.9 | 35.93% | 57.00% | R+21.1 | R |
6A | 63.20% | 34.57% | D+28.6 | 44.68% | 47.85% | R+3.2 | D |
6B | 61.82% | 35.90% | D+25.9 | 45.05% | 47.77% | R+2.7 | D |
7A | 67.15% | 30.27% | D+36.9 | 62.12% | 28.28% | D+33.8 | D |
7B | 69.99% | 27.63% | D+42.4 | 59.01% | 32.66% | D+26.3 | D |
8A | 39.32% | 59.07% | R+19.8 | 31.05% | 62.92% | R+31.9 | R |
8B | 40.24% | 57.98% | R+17.7 | 27.72% | 65.66% | R+37.9 | R |
9A | 37.61% | 60.36% | R+22.7 | 23.48% | 70.76% | R+47.3 | R |
9B | 37.60% | 60.41% | R+22.8 | 21.44% | 73.05% | R+51.6 | R |
10A | 42.68% | 55.47% | R+12.8 | 31.71% | 61.41% | R+29.7 | R |
10B | 44.58% | 53.66% | R+9.1 | 31.38% | 62.81% | R+31.4 | R |
11A | 62.19% | 35.79% | D+26.4 | 46.93% | 45.13% | D+1.8 | D |
11B | 46.72% | 50.92% | R+4.2 | 31.58% | 61.39% | R+29.8 | R |
12A | 46.30% | 51.70% | R+5.4 | 32.87% | 59.48% | R+26.6 | R |
12B | 36.32% | 61.98% | R+25.7 | 23.78% | 70.60% | R+46.8 | R |
13A | 41.20% | 57.04% | R+15.8 | 29.40% | 63.98% | R+34.6 | R |
13B | 40.74% | 57.46% | R+16.7 | 29.76% | 63.36% | R+33.6 | R |
14A | 47.70% | 50.25% | R+2.6 | 40.14% | 51.73% | R+11.6 | R |
14B | 53.28% | 43.56% | D+9.7 | 43.47% | 46.88% | R+3.4 | R |
15A | 42.24% | 55.67% | R+13.4 | 26.60% | 66.72% | R+40.1 | R |
15B | 34.92% | 62.92% | R+28 | 21.90% | 71.37% | R+49.5 | R |
16A | 45.53% | 52.33% | R+6.8 | 31.31% | 60.77% | R+29.5 | R |
16B | 40.08% | 57.64% | R+17.6 | 26.83% | 64.99% | R+38.2 | R |
17A | 47.24% | 50.94% | R+3.7 | 29.82% | 63.25% | R+33.4 | R |
17B | 47.10% | 51.19% | R+4.1 | 34.89% | 57.60% | R+22.7 | R |
18A | 39.80% | 57.83% | R+18 | 26.88% | 65.04% | R+38.2 | R |
18B | 37.06% | 60.70% | R+23.6 | 25.23% | 67.02% | R+41.8 | R |
19A | 52.51% | 45.09% | D+7.4 | 43.51% | 47.62% | R+4.1 | D |
19B | 57.05% | 39.91% | D+17.1 | 48.70% | 40.94% | D+7.8 | D |
20A | 40.38% | 57.73% | R+17.4 | 30.47% | 62.58% | R+32.1 | R |
20B | 53.95% | 43.71% | D+10.2 | 47.02% | 45.86% | D+1.2 | D |
21A | 51.06% | 46.99% | D+4.1 | 40.39% | 51.63% | R+11.2 | R |
21B | 44.07% | 53.85% | R+9.8 | 30.94% | 61.07% | R+30.1 | R |
22A | 41.53% | 56.48% | R+14.9 | 26.80% | 66.15% | R+39.4 | R |
22B | 44.04% | 54.37% | R+10.3 | 30.63% | 63.03% | R+32.4 | R |
23A | 39.08% | 58.83% | R+19.8 | 26.82% | 66.32% | R+39.5 | R |
23B | 47.30% | 50.57% | R+3.3 | 32.70% | 59.47% | R+26.8 | R |
24A | 45.64% | 52.20% | R+6.6 | 33.70% | 57.84% | R+24.1 | R |
24B | 47.07% | 50.66% | R+3.6 | 33.44% | 58.77% | R+25.3 | R |
25A | 45.24% | 52.32% | R+7.1 | 37.03% | 52.94% | R+15.9 | R |
25B | 53.14% | 44.51% | D+8.6 | 50.23% | 40.22% | D+10 | D |
26A | 57.64% | 39.78% | D+17.9 | 54.11% | 36.72% | D+17.4 | D |
26B | 44.47% | 53.59% | R+9.1 | 38.48% | 53.17% | R+14.7 | R |
27A | 55.57% | 42.31% | D+13.3 | 37.42% | 55.76% | R+18.3 | R |
27B | 59.95% | 37.84% | D+22.1 | 41.96% | 50.58% | R+8.6 | D |
28A | 56.63% | 40.82% | D+15.8 | 46.44% | 44.13% | D+2.3 | D |
28B | 51.67% | 46.36% | D+5.3 | 37.30% | 55.31% | R+18 | R |
29A | 37.73% | 60.22% | R+22.5 | 28.82% | 63.10% | R+34.3 | R |
29B | 40.42% | 57.50% | R+17.1 | 30.71% | 61.38% | R+30.7 | R |
30A | 39.60% | 58.57% | R+19 | 30.48% | 61.61% | R+31.1 | R |
30B | 36.49% | 61.79% | R+25.3 | 29.58% | 62.31% | R+32.7 | R |
31A | 35.58% | 62.46% | R+26.9 | 23.94% | 69.10% | R+45.2 | R |
31B | 38.58% | 59.53% | R+20.9 | 29.00% | 63.74% | R+34.7 | R |
32A | 41.06% | 56.85% | R+15.8 | 28.13% | 64.23% | R+36.1 | R |
32B | 42.98% | 55.07% | R+12.1 | 31.50% | 60.69% | R+29.2 | R |
33A | 36.20% | 62.39% | R+26.2 | 37.84% | 54.78% | R+16.9 | R |
33B | 43.71% | 54.67% | R+11 | 46.18% | 45.68% | D+0.5 | R |
34A | 40.35% | 58.12% | R+17.8 | 40.80% | 51.26% | R+10.5 | R |
34B | 46.78% | 51.60% | R+4.8 | 47.91% | 43.62% | D+4.3 | R |
35A | 45.40% | 52.32% | R+6.9 | 37.77% | 53.46% | R+15.7 | R |
35B | 41.04% | 57.50% | R+16.5 | 36.48% | 55.65% | R+19.2 | R |
36A | 48.54% | 49.44% | R+0.9 | 44.09% | 47.07% | R+3 | R |
36B | 53.38% | 45.11% | D+8.3 | 52.16% | 40.08% | D+12.1 | D |
37A | 53.32% | 44.53% | D+8.8 | 45.38% | 46.05% | R+0.7 | D |
37B | 48.64% | 49.49% | R+0.9 | 43.74% | 48.04% | R+4.3 | R |
38A | 44.17% | 53.89% | R+9.7 | 40.36% | 51.11% | R+10.7 | R |
38B | 46.39% | 51.99% | R+5.6 | 45.39% | 46.56% | R+1.2 | R |
39A | 45.12% | 53.25% | R+8.1 | 40.85% | 51.57% | R+10.7 | R |
39B | 47.78% | 50.62% | R+2.8 | 45.97% | 46.25% | R+0.3 | R |
40A | 69.71% | 28.69% | D+41 | 67.81% | 26.13% | D+41.7 | D |
40B | 68.60% | 29.42% | D+39.2 | 65.29% | 27.68% | D+37.6 | D |
41A | 59.61% | 38.36% | D+21.2 | 55.79% | 35.28% | D+20.5 | D |
41B | 62.30% | 35.32% | D+27 | 62.11% | 29.12% | D+33 | D |
42A | 51.48% | 46.50% | D+5 | 52.61% | 38.39% | D+14.2 | R |
42B | 56.76% | 41.28% | D+15.5 | 56.05% | 35.37% | D+20.7 | D |
43A | 56.52% | 41.92% | D+14.6 | 54.01% | 38.15% | D+15.9 | D |
43B | 57.50% | 40.33% | D+17.2 | 52.35% | 39.35% | D+13 | D |
44A | 47.99% | 50.66% | R+2.7 | 53.47% | 38.83% | D+14.6 | R |
44B | 54.39% | 44.30% | D+10.1 | 57.27% | 35.36% | D+21.9 | D |
45A | 59.17% | 38.72% | D+20.5 | 58.13% | 33.53% | D+24.6 | D |
45B | 63.39% | 34.34% | D+29.1 | 64.02% | 27.43% | D+36.6 | D |
46A | 64.31% | 33.66% | D+30.7 | 66.50% | 25.81% | D+40.7 | D |
46B | 65.79% | 32.01% | D+33.8 | 68.45% | 23.31% | D+45.1 | D |
47A | 35.32% | 63.07% | R+27.7 | 31.29% | 60.91% | R+29.6 | R |
47B | 42.17% | 56.19% | R+14 | 44.19% | 47.17% | R+3 | R |
48A | 52.14% | 46.19% | D+5.9 | 55.55% | 36.50% | D+19.1 | D |
48B | 46.72% | 51.70% | R+5 | 53.09% | 39.54% | D+13.6 | R |
49A | 52.29% | 46.68% | D+5.6 | 60.37% | 32.60% | D+27.8 | R |
49B | 52.45% | 46.18% | D+6.3 | 56.50% | 36.35% | D+20.2 | D |
50A | 63.81% | 33.98% | D+29.8 | 61.93% | 29.97% | D+32 | D |
50B | 56.96% | 40.99% | D+16 | 55.51% | 36.29% | D+19.2 | D |
51A | 55.56% | 42.44% | D+13.1 | 54.45% | 37.27% | D+17.2 | D |
51B | 51.44% | 46.79% | D+4.7 | 54.17% | 37.06% | D+17.1 | D |
52A | 58.72% | 39.32% | D+19.4 | 56.76% | 34.99% | D+21.8 | D |
52B | 52.90% | 45.36% | D+7.5 | 49.95% | 42.08% | D+7.9 | R |
53A | 56.63% | 41.59% | D+15 | 54.59% | 37.63% | D+17 | D |
53B | 46.78% | 51.95% | R+5.2 | 50.81% | 42.01% | D+8.8 | R |
54A | 55.87% | 41.75% | D+14.1 | 46.83% | 43.55% | D+3.3 | R |
54B | 49.32% | 48.74% | D+0.6 | 42.76% | 48.63% | R+5.9 | R |
55A | 46.18% | 51.67% | R+5.5 | 43.39% | 47.89% | R+4.5 | R |
55B | 38.11% | 60.15% | R+22 | 34.43% | 57.98% | R+23.5 | R |
56A | 47.26% | 50.85% | R+3.6 | 47.12% | 44.13% | D+3 | R |
56B | 49.26% | 48.97% | D+0.3 | 48.62% | 43.89% | D+4.7 | R |
57A | 50.85% | 47.34% | D+3.5 | 49.06% | 42.78% | D+6.3 | D |
57B | 48.75% | 49.64% | R+0.9 | 48.21% | 43.72% | D+4.5 | R |
58A | 42.24% | 56.02% | R+13.8 | 40.36% | 51.99% | R+11.6 | R |
58B | 42.46% | 55.75% | R+13.3 | 34.86% | 57.04% | R+22.2 | R |
59A | 84.23% | 13.96% | D+70.3 | 78.85% | 13.74% | D+65.1 | D |
59B | 80.65% | 17.23% | D+63.4 | 79.46% | 13.04% | D+66.4 | D |
60A | 77.47% | 18.61% | D+58.9 | 76.38% | 14.48% | D+61.9 | D |
60B | 76.39% | 19.31% | D+57.1 | 79.57% | 11.88% | D+67.7 | D |
61A | 78.23% | 19.40% | D+58.8 | 81.47% | 12.06% | D+69.4 | D |
61B | 78.20% | 19.94% | D+58.3 | 81.29% | 12.45% | D+68.8 | D |
62A | 86.72% | 9.26% | D+77.5 | 84.08% | 7.57% | D+76.5 | D |
62B | 86.87% | 10.09% | D+76.8 | 85.70% | 6.89% | D+78.8 | D |
63A | 82.84% | 14.33% | D+68.5 | 81.97% | 10.62% | D+71.4 | D |
63B | 73.83% | 23.99% | D+49.8 | 73.80% | 18.58% | D+55.2 | D |
64A | 76.89% | 20.30% | D+56.6 | 78.82% | 13.58% | D+65.2 | D |
64B | 70.63% | 27.37% | D+43.3 | 74.41% | 18.39% | D+56 | D |
65A | 83.74% | 13.76% | D+70 | 80.78% | 12.13% | D+68.6 | D |
65B | 77.60% | 19.70% | D+57.9 | 74.28% | 17.59% | D+56.7 | D |
66A | 65.92% | 31.91% | D+34 | 67.89% | 23.85% | D+44 | D |
66B | 78.86% | 18.90% | D+60 | 76.62% | 15.90% | D+60.7 | D |
67A | 76.07% | 21.79% | D+54.3 | 70.99% | 21.62% | D+49.4 | D |
67B | 74.76% | 23.00% | D+51.8 | 70.67% | 22.02% | D+48.6 | D |
Total | 52.84% | 45.12% | D+7.7 | 46.88% | 45.34% | D+1.5 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
Election history
2014
In the 2014 gubernatorial election, incumbent Mark Dayton (D) defeated Jeff Johnson (R).
Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Minnesota, 2014 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Democratic | ![]() |
50.1% | 989,113 | |
Republican | Jeff Johnson/Bill Kuisle | 44.5% | 879,257 | |
Independence | Hannah Nicollet/Tim Gieseke | 2.9% | 56,900 | |
Grassroots Party | Chris Wright/David Daniels | 1.6% | 31,259 | |
Libertarian | Chris Holbrook/Chris Dock | 0.9% | 18,082 | |
Nonpartisan | Write-in votes | 0.1% | 1,134 | |
Total Votes | 1,975,745 | |||
Election results via Minnesota Secretary of State |
2010
- See also: Minnesota gubernatorial election, 2010
In the 2010 gubernatorial election, Mark Dayton (D) defeated Tom Emmer (R).
Governor/Lt. Governor of Minnesota, 2010 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Democratic | ![]() |
43.6% | 919,232 | |
Republican | Tom Emmer/Annette Meeks | 43.2% | 910,462 | |
Independence | Tom Horner/James A. Mulder | 11.9% | 251,487 | |
Grassroots Party | Chris Wright/Edwin H. Engelmann | 0.4% | 7,516 | |
Green | Farheen Hakeem/Dan Dittmann | 0.3% | 6,188 | |
Ecology Democracy Party | Ken Pentel/Erin Wallace | 0.3% | 6,180 | |
The Resource Party | Linda S. Eno/Howard B. Hanson | 0.2% | 4,092 | |
Write-In | Various | 0.1% | 1,864 | |
Total Votes | 2,107,021 | |||
Election results via Minnesota Secretary of State |
Wave election analysis
- See also: Wave elections (1918-2016)
The term wave election is frequently used to describe an election cycle in which one party makes significant electoral gains. How many seats would Republicans have had to lose for the 2018 midterm election to be considered a wave election?
Ballotpedia examined the results of the 50 election cycles that occurred between 1918 and 2016—spanning from President Woodrow Wilson's (D) second midterm in 1918 to Donald Trump's (R) first presidential election in 2016. We define wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in that period resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party.
Applying this definition to gubernatorial elections, we found that Republicans needed to lose seven seats for 2018 to qualify as a wave election.
The chart below shows the number of seats the president's party lost in the 11 gubernatorial waves from 1918 to 2016. Click here to read the full report.
Gubernatorial wave elections | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | President | Party | Election type | Gubernatorial seats change | Elections analyzed[28] | |
1970 | Nixon | R | First midterm | -12 | 35 | |
1922 | Harding | R | First midterm | -11 | 33 | |
1932 | Hoover | R | Presidential | -10 | 35 | |
1920 | Wilson | D | Presidential | -10 | 36 | |
1994 | Clinton | D | First midterm | -10 | 36 | |
1930 | Hoover | R | First midterm | -9 | 33 | |
1938 | Roosevelt | D | Second midterm | -9 | 33 | |
1966 | Johnson | D | First midterm[29] | -9 | 35 | |
1954 | Eisenhower | R | First midterm | -8 | 33 | |
1982 | Reagan | R | First midterm | -7 | 36 | |
2010 | Obama | D | First midterm | -7 | 33 |
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Minnesota heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Democrats held both U.S. Senate seats in Minnesota.
- Democrats held 5 of 8 U.S. House seats in Minnesota.
State executives
- The governor of Minnesota was Democrat Mark Dayton. The state held an election for governor and lieutenant governor on November 6, 2018.
State legislature
- Republicans had a 77-56 majority in the state House. The state Senate was tied, with 33 Republicans and 33 Democrats.
Trifecta status
- Minnesota was under divided government, meaning that the two parties shared control of the state government. Mark Dayton (D) served as governor, while Republicans controlled the state legislature.
2018 elections
- See also: Minnesota elections, 2018
Minnesota held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- Two U.S. Senate seats (one regular election and one special election)
- 8 U.S. House seats
- Governor and lieutenant governor
- Five lower state executive positions
- 134 state House seats
- One state Senate seat
- Municipal elections in St. Paul, Hennepin County, and Ramsey County
Demographics
Demographic data for Minnesota | ||
---|---|---|
Minnesota | U.S. | |
Total population: | 5,482,435 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 79,627 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 84.8% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 5.5% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 4.4% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 1% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 2.7% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 5% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 92.4% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 33.7% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $61,492 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 12.2% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Minnesota. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2016, Minnesota's three largest cities were Minneapolis (pop. est. 422,000), St. Paul (pop. est. 307,000), and Rochester (pop. est. 116,000).[30]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Minnesota from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Minnesota Secretary of State.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Minnesota every year from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), Minnesota 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
46.4% | ![]() |
44.9% | 1.5% |
2012 | ![]() |
52.7% | ![]() |
45.0% | 7.7% |
2008 | ![]() |
54.1% | ![]() |
43.8% | 10.3% |
2004 | ![]() |
51.1% | ![]() |
47.6% | 3.5% |
2000 | ![]() |
47.9% | ![]() |
45.5% | 2.4% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Minnesota from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
Election results (U.S. Senator), Minnesota 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | ![]() |
53.2% | ![]() |
42.9% | 10.3% |
2012 | ![]() |
65.2% | ![]() |
30.5% | 34.7% |
2008 | ![]() |
41.99% | ![]() |
41.98% | 0.01% |
2006 | ![]() |
58.1% | ![]() |
37.9% | 20.2% |
2002 | ![]() |
49.5% | ![]() |
47.3% | 2.2% |
2000 | ![]() |
48.8% | ![]() |
43.3% | 5.5% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Minnesota.
Election results (Governor), Minnesota 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | ![]() |
50.1% | ![]() |
44.5% | 5.6% |
2010 | ![]() |
43.6% | ![]() |
43.2% | 0.4% |
2006 | ![]() |
46.7% | ![]() |
45.7% | 1.0% |
2002 | ![]() |
44.4% | ![]() |
36.5% | 7.9% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Minnesota in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Minnesota Party Control: 1992-2024
Four years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | I | I | I | I | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Recent news
The link below is to the most recent stories in a Google news search for the terms Minnesota governor election 2018. These results are automatically generated from Google. Ballotpedia does not curate or endorse these articles.
See also
Minnesota government: |
Elections: |
Ballotpedia exclusives: |
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ 1.0 1.1 Walz for Governor, "Home," accessed September 17, 2018
- ↑ Walz for Governor, "What Minnesotans Need to Know," September 17, 2018
- ↑ Youtube, "What's Right," July 19, 2018
- ↑ Youtube, "Jeff Johnson for Governor: Fundamental Change," June 30, 2018
- ↑ Johnson for Governor ,"Home," accessed September 17, 2018
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," November 6, 2015
- ↑ Star Tribune, "Ad campaign thrusts health care into governor's race," September 11, 2018
- ↑ Minnesota Campaign Finance and Public Disclosure Board, "Search independent expenditures (candidate)," accessed September 17, 2018
- ↑ Twin Cities Pioneer Press, "GOP governors group plans $2.3M campaign in Minnesota race, even more in Wisconsin," April 9, 2018
- ↑ Twitter, "Brian Bakst," October 1, 2018
- ↑ Twitter, "Brian Bakst," October 12, 2018
- ↑ Twitter, "Medium Buying," October 18, 2018
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Star Tribune, "Election endorsement: Tim Walz, a uniter, for governor," October 26, 2018
- ↑ Twin Cities Pioneer Press, "Donald Trump tweets what Jeff Johnson has wanted to hear: You have my endorsement." August 15, 2018
- ↑ The Mankato Free Press, "PHOTOS: President Trump rally in Rochester," October 4, 2018
- ↑ 22.0 22.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
- ↑ Tim Walz for Governor, "Home Page," accessed June 6, 2021
- ↑ Johnson for Governor, "Issues," accessed September 17, 2018
- ↑ 270towin.com, "Minnesota," accessed June 29, 2017
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ The number of gubernatorial seats up for election varies, with as many as 36 seats and as few as 12 seats being up in a single even-numbered year.
- ↑ Lyndon Johnson's (D) first term began in November 1963 after the death of President John F. Kennedy (D), who was first elected in 1960. Before Johnson had his first midterm in 1966, he was re-elected president in 1964.
- ↑ Minnesota Demographics, "Minnesota Cities by Population," accessed September 4, 2018
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