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Florida's 9th Congressional District election, 2024

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2022
Florida's 9th Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 26, 2024
Primary: August 20, 2024
General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Florida
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic
DDHQ and The Hill: Likely Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
Florida's 9th Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th17th18th19th20th21st22nd23rd24th25th26th27th28th
Florida elections, 2024
U.S. Congress elections, 2024
U.S. Senate elections, 2024
U.S. House elections, 2024

All U.S. House districts, including the 9th Congressional District of Florida, held elections in 2024. The general election was November 5, 2024. The primary was August 20, 2024. The filing deadline was April 26, 2024. The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 119th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.

At the time of the election, Republicans held a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As a result of the election, Republicans retained control of the U.S. House, winning 220 seats to Democrats' 215.[2] To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.

In the 2022 election in this district, the Democratic candidate won 53.6%-46.4%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 58.2%-40.8%.[3]

Florida's 9th Congressional District was one of 37 congressional districts with a Democratic incumbent or an open seat that the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) targeted in 2024. To read about NRCC targeting initiatives, click here. For a complete list of NRCC targeted districts, click here.

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Florida District 9

Incumbent Darren Soto defeated Thomas Chalifoux and Marcus Carter in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 9 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Darren Soto
Darren Soto (D)
 
55.1
 
178,785
Image of Thomas Chalifoux
Thomas Chalifoux (R) Candidate Connection
 
42.6
 
138,076
Image of Marcus Carter
Marcus Carter (No Party Affiliation) Candidate Connection
 
2.3
 
7,412

Total votes: 324,273
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Incumbent Darren Soto advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 9.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 9

Thomas Chalifoux defeated John Quiñones and Jose Castillo in the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 9 on August 20, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Thomas Chalifoux
Thomas Chalifoux Candidate Connection
 
49.6
 
12,662
Image of John Quiñones
John Quiñones
 
25.7
 
6,557
Image of Jose Castillo
Jose Castillo Candidate Connection
 
24.7
 
6,294

Total votes: 25,513
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Image of Thomas Chalifoux

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "By far I am the most qualified, experienced candidate. As retired Army Colonel I have proven leadership skills, high integrity and care about our country. Also, I am a very successful businessman who has demonstrated outstanding business accomplishments in construction, property management, water and sewer utilities, restaurant ownership, ranching and employing thousands of people in the past 40+ years. I served 8 years on Osceola County school board, 23 years on Kissimmee Board of Adjustment. I am life member of Disable America veterans, Special Forces Association, All American Airborne Association. Most importantly I love our country and I want to serve our country again."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


Inflation. It’s simply we have to cut unnecessary spending that don’t benefit Americans. As a businessman I know what it takes to access wasteful spending. I have extensive experience evaluating unnecessary expenditures. It’s about evaluating costs versus benefit. We have eliminate unnecessary, wasteful spending programs. I’m in favor of line item budgets. We have to stop being the world’s piggy bank.


Secure our borders. I will support any measure to deny access of entry in our nation borders. I do not support giving illegal aliens social security benefits that is bankrupting our social security benefits to those that earned the right to receive it. We need to stop illegal drugs from entering our country along with people who mean us harm.


Infrastructure We support reinvesting in building roads, repairing bridges, providing water and sanitation, reducing our dependence on foreign energy sources. Let’s start building now and not sending money to other countries that don’t benefit us.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Florida District 9 in 2024.

Image of Marcus Carter

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: No Party Affiliation

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "I'm running because I believe in service, honesty, and the responsibility we all share in improving our community. My military background taught me the importance of duty, and it's time we have representation that truly reflects the values and needs of our district. Our nation faces a perilous future, and I understand that our trajectory won't look any better until we, the people, reclaim the roles of leadership in this nation from politicians motivated by money and power. A self-governed society demands leadership from within, not influence from the elite. My hope is to energize Americans to declare their independence and rise to the occasion just as we have countless times throughout our history."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


The concept of democracy is lost, paved over by oligarchic motivations. This won't change, and things in our country won't improve, until we stand up and take charge ourselves. The days of party loyalty must end. The notion that traditional politics will solve our problems must die. And the collective disenfranchisement we, the people, have accumulated, must transform into the passion and energy it will require for us to reclaim the roles of leadership from compromised politicians. The time to stand and declare our independence is now!


There is a mental health epidemic ravaging our nation. Addressing the causes of and finding real treatments for the wide variety of mental health conditions that are affecting our nation is as foundational to our future as it is urgent to us all. It's time to look past so-called solutions that have only worsened the problem by creating a pill-dependent population to the profit of Big Pharma with zero actual results or improvement. It's time to start thinking outside the box, reflecting on what's causing so many mentally ill Americans as well as how we can treat and prevent future illness.


I wouldn't be running if I didn't believe in us as a nation and our ability to overcome any challenge the world may present. We are a unique nation, and each of us should reflect on how blessed we are to live in the greatest place on Earth. But decades of complacency and disinterest in our own democracy is the cause of our problems, not corrupt politicians. It is the absence of citizens truly dedicated to authentic representation that has invited corruption to fill the void. It's on us to get it back, and just as we always have, I believe we've got what it takes. I wouldn't be running if I didn't believe in what we're capable of as a nation.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Florida District 9 in 2024.

Voting information

See also: Voting in Florida

Election information in Florida: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 7, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 7, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 7, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 24, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 24, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 24, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 26, 2024 to Nov. 2, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. - 7:00 p.m. (EST/CST)

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

Expand all | Collapse all

Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Marcus_Carter_2024.jpg

Marcus Carter (No Affiliation)

The concept of democracy is lost, paved over by oligarchic motivations. This won't change, and things in our country won't improve, until we stand up and take charge ourselves. The days of party loyalty must end. The notion that traditional politics will solve our problems must die. And the collective disenfranchisement we, the people, have accumulated, must transform into the passion and energy it will require for us to reclaim the roles of leadership from compromised politicians. The time to stand and declare our independence is now!

There is a mental health epidemic ravaging our nation. Addressing the causes of and finding real treatments for the wide variety of mental health conditions that are affecting our nation is as foundational to our future as it is urgent to us all. It's time to look past so-called solutions that have only worsened the problem by creating a pill-dependent population to the profit of Big Pharma with zero actual results or improvement. It's time to start thinking outside the box, reflecting on what's causing so many mentally ill Americans as well as how we can treat and prevent future illness.

I wouldn't be running if I didn't believe in us as a nation and our ability to overcome any challenge the world may present. We are a unique nation, and each of us should reflect on how blessed we are to live in the greatest place on Earth. But decades of complacency and disinterest in our own democracy is the cause of our problems, not corrupt politicians. It is the absence of citizens truly dedicated to authentic representation that has invited corruption to fill the void. It's on us to get it back, and just as we always have, I believe we've got what it takes. I wouldn't be running if I didn't believe in what we're capable of as a nation.
Inflation. It’s simply we have to cut unnecessary spending that don’t benefit Americans. As a businessman I know what it takes to access wasteful spending. I have extensive experience evaluating unnecessary expenditures. It’s about evaluating costs versus benefit. We have eliminate unnecessary, wasteful spending programs. I’m in favor of line item budgets. We have to stop being the world’s piggy bank.

Secure our borders. I will support any measure to deny access of entry in our nation borders. I do not support giving illegal aliens social security benefits that is bankrupting our social security benefits to those that earned the right to receive it.

We need to stop illegal drugs from entering our country along with people who mean us harm.

Infrastructure

We support reinvesting in building roads, repairing bridges, providing water and sanitation, reducing our dependence on foreign energy sources. Let’s start building now and not sending money to other countries that don’t benefit us.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Marcus_Carter_2024.jpg

Marcus Carter (No Affiliation)

Firstly, addressing the mental health epidemic is a priority for ensuring the well-being of our nation. Nothing gets better until we are collectively better mentally. But also, government ethics and anti-corruption measures are crucial for restoring faith in our institutions. It's time to start holding the corrupt accountable and usher in new leaders dedicated to honesty and transparency. With regards to education, we need to adapt our educational system to meet 21st-century demands. Further, we must put an end to forever wars and the military industrial complex's stranglehold on influence. Still, bringing sustainability to Social Security, ending the immigration madness, and a host of other issues remain pressing, as well.
Fiscal policy, federal debt and how it is eroded the economy
Martin Luther King it’s about not about the color of your skin but the content of your character
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Marcus_Carter_2024.jpg

Marcus Carter (No Affiliation)

Honesty is the single most important characteristic for any elected official. We cannot have a government we can trust if our elected officials are not honest, it is quite simple. And unfortunately, far too few of us have any trust in our leaders, because we don't believe their honest. With honesty comes integrity, because no honest person wants to spend their time explaining their mistakes. As for mistakes, they will come along with any leader who lacks experience; however, it's those with experience who lack honesty, rendering experience as the characteristic that is least important.
Representing your district,your state, your county. My integrity . I want citizens to know I care about them and America
Very dedicated, highly talented and experienced that has the courage to do the right thing
Do the right thing. Vote for what I believe is best for our country
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Marcus_Carter_2024.jpg

Marcus Carter (No Affiliation)

When I was six years old, I split a paper route with my older brother and sister. My brother did 14 houses, and my sister delivered to another 7 houses each. I stayed in the paper route game until I was 11 when I got a job mowing lawns at a cemetery and that's when the big bucks started rolling in!
As a kid I shovel snow in winters and summer cut grass for neighbors
Bible teaches us to love each other
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Marcus_Carter_2024.jpg

Marcus Carter (No Affiliation)

One of the biggest struggles in my life revolves around my son Jacob, who has been diagnosed with a rare and challenging condition called Metacystic Microcolon Intestinal Hyperperistalsis Syndrome. From the moment Jacob was born, our lives have been deeply impacted by his condition. It's a daily battle witnessing him cope with the symptoms and limitations this syndrome presents.

The constant uncertainty and fear that accompany Jacob's condition have been an immense weight on my shoulders. Every day is filled with worry about his health, his future, and the countless medical decisions we must make on his behalf. The financial strain of medical bills and specialized care adds another layer of stress to our lives.

But amidst the struggle, there is also profound strength and resilience. Jacob's unwavering spirit and the support of our family and medical team inspire us to keep fighting. We've learned to cherish every small victory, whether it's a day without pain or a milestone reached against all odds.

While Jacob's condition presents countless challenges, it has also taught us invaluable lessons about love, perseverance, and the fragility of life. Our journey with Jacob has reshaped our priorities and deepened our empathy for others facing similar battles. Though the road ahead may be uncertain, we face it with unwavering determination and the enduring hope for a better tomorrow for Jacob and all those affected by rare diseases.
Trying to do too much
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Marcus_Carter_2024.jpg

Marcus Carter (No Affiliation)

I believe it is actually a detriment if a representative has previous experience. It is the result of those with experience that has brought our nation to where it is today. It won't take that same experience to fix it, it will take something new. But much like our founding fathers did in order to create our nation, I believe we still have what it takes to roll up our sleeves and gain new experience.
Yes to a point More important is experience in leadership, experience in business and commerce, making management decisions and worldly experiences
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Marcus_Carter_2024.jpg

Marcus Carter (No Affiliation)

There are several pressing challenges facing us over the next decade. The most immediate is the threat of a global war, something our elected officials should be in unison working to avoid. Financially, the United States in real trouble, and the longer we wait to find solutions to our budget woes, the more cataclysmic this problem will become. And while our education system needs overhauled, our economy needs strengthened and our immigration crisis needs resolved, I don't believe any of it will begin improving until we address the mental health problems plaquing our nation.
Electing candidates that have demonstrated proven leadership, integrity and experience. Any organization is successful or not successful because of above. We need leaders that are willing to stand up for what is best for America, not their political career.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Marcus_Carter_2024.jpg

Marcus Carter (No Affiliation)

I believe it is more important to address where the money is coming from in politics and rectify the corruption behind it prior to concerning ourselves with term limits. If term limits are imposed without addressing dark money and how corporations and the elite control our elected officials, then nothing will change.
I have signed a term limit pledge
There will always be some level compromise to a point. That point when it goes against your core values
Lately Congress has been trying to make government agencies do their jobs but are stonewalled by these very agencies. These agencies need to held accountable to the people of America
Budget, military affairs, education
I support financial transparency. I demand government accountability and hold government accountable.


Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Darren Soto Democratic Party $2,159,166 $2,209,328 $14,119 As of December 31, 2024
Jose Castillo Republican Party $86,347 $87,659 $196 As of September 30, 2024
Thomas Chalifoux Republican Party $2,640,437 $1,671,251 $969,186 As of December 31, 2024
John Quiñones Republican Party $127,638 $127,638 $0 As of December 31, 2024
Marcus Carter No Party Affiliation $14,065 $12,786 $1,279 As of September 30, 2024

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]

Race ratings: Florida's 9th Congressional District election, 2024
Race trackerRace ratings
November 5, 2024October 29, 2024October 22, 2024October 15, 2024
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely Democratic
Decision Desk HQ and The HillLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticSafe Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Noteworthy ballot measures

See also: Florida 2024 ballot measures

Two notable ballot measures were on the November 5, 2024, ballot in Florida. One would legalize marijuana possession under three ounces (Amendment 3), and the other would establish a constitutional right to abortion before fetal viability (Amendment 4). A 60% supermajority vote is required for the approval of both amendments.

Observers and officials commented on whether the amendments would increase turnout statewide.

  • Wendy Sartory Link, the Supervisor of Elections for Palm Beach County, said: “A presidential election gets people excited and brings people out. But you might have folks who may not have cared as much or been as motivated to get out to vote for a president or all of the other races. Now, these amendments might just drive them out.”[8]
  • Brad Coker, the CEO of the Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy firm, said of Amendment 4: "It'll bring out younger voters of all kinds and more white, female voters, both groups which lean heavy Democratic... It’ll definitely help turn out voters in what for many was looking like a lackluster choice in the presidential race between Biden and Trump.”[9]
  • Florida House Minority Leader Fentrice Driskell (D) said: “With voters paying more attention to down-ballot races, I’m optimistic we can have a reverse coattails effect where we start to drive turnout and help improve the numbers at the presidential level.”[10]
  • Republican pollster Ryan Tyson disputed the idea that the amendments would increase turnout for Democrats, saying of Amendment 4: "Nobody is trying to say that abortion doesn’t animate their base to turn out — we’ve seen that everywhere... However, we haven’t seen them turn out voters that wouldn’t have already turned out, like in a presidential year."[11]
  • Sen. Marco Rubio (R) said of Amendment 4: “People are going to vote, they’re going to come out and vote and I don’t think [the abortion rights measure] is going to change any turnout patterns.”[12]

Amendment 3

See also: Florida Amendment 3, Marijuana Legalization Initiative (2024)

A "yes" vote supported legalizing marijuana for adults 21 years old and older and allowing individuals to possess up to three ounces of marijuana.

A "no" vote opposed legalizing marijuana for adult use in Florida.

To read more about supporters and opponents of Amendment 3, along with their arguments, click on the box below.

Amendment 4

See also: Florida Amendment 4, Right to Abortion Initiative (2024)

A "yes" vote supported adding the following language to the Florida Constitution’s Declaration of Rights: “… no law shall prohibit, penalize, delay, or restrict abortion before viability or when necessary to protect the patient’s health, as determined by the patient’s healthcare provider.” Amendment 4 maintained the existing constitutional provision that permitted a law requiring parents to be notified before a minor can receive an abortion.

A "no" vote opposed amending the Florida Constitution's Declaration of Rights to provide that the state cannot "... prohibit, penalize, delay, or restrict abortion before viability or when necessary to protect the patient’s health, as determined by the patient’s healthcare provider."


To read more about supporters and opponents of Amendment 4, along with their arguments, click on the box below.

Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Florida in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Florida, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Florida U.S. House Ballot-qualified party 5,181[15] $10,440.00 4/26/2024 Source
Florida U.S. House Unaffiliated 5,181[16] $6,960.00 4/26/2024 Source

==District analysis==

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.


Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

2023_01_03_fl_congressional_district_09.jpg
See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Florida.

Florida U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024
Office Districts/
offices
Seats Open seats Candidates Possible primaries Contested Democratic primaries Contested Republican primaries % of contested primaries Incumbents in contested primaries % of incumbents in contested primaries
2024 28 28 1 101 56 9 21 53.6% 15 55.6%
2022 28 28 6 151 56 14 24 67.9% 17 73.9%
2020 27 27 2 114 54 10 19 53.7% 10 40.0%
2018 27 27 4 104 54 19 12 57.4% 11 47.8%
2016 27 27 7 100 54 11 13 44.4% 9 47.4%
2014 27 27 0 75 54 5 10 27.8% 8 29.6%

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Florida in 2024. Information below was calculated on May 7, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

One hundred three candidates ran for Florida’s 28 U.S. House districts, including 42 Democrats and 61 Republicans. That’s 3.68 candidates per district, less than in the previous three election cycles. There were 5.43 candidates per district in 2022, 4.22 candidates per district in 2020, and 3.86 in 2018.

The 8th Congressional District was the only open district, meaning no incumbents filed to run. That’s the fewest open seats in Florida since 2014 when no seats were open. Incumbent Rep. Bill Posey (R-8th) did not run for re-election because he is retired from public office.

Seven candidates—incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz (D-23rd) and six Republicans—ran for the 23rd Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a seat in 2024.

Thirty primaries—nine Democratic and 21 Republican—were contested in 2024. Thirty-eight primaries were contested in 2022, 29 primaries were contested in 2020, and 31 primaries were contested in 2018.

Fifteen incumbents—two Democrats and 13 Republicans—were in contested primaries in Florida in 2024. That’s less than the 17 incumbents in contested primaries in 2022 but more than the 10 incumbents in contested primaries in 2020.

The 20th Congressional District is guaranteed to Democrats because no Republicans will appear on the ballot. Democrats filed to run in every congressional district, meaning none are guaranteed to Republicans.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+8. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 8 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Florida's 9th the 140th most Democratic district nationally.[17]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Florida's 9th based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
58.2% 40.8%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[18] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline Democratic Party Republican Baseline Republican Party Difference
55.3 43.7 R+11.6

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Florida, 2020

Florida presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 17 Democratic wins
  • 14 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party D D D D D D D R D D D D D R R R D R R D R R R R D R R D D R R
See also: Party control of Florida state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Florida's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Florida
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 8 8
Republican 2 20 22
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 28 30

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Florida's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Florida, May 2024
Office Officeholder
Governor Republican Party Ron DeSantis
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Jeanette Nuñez
Secretary of State Republican Party Cord Byrd
Attorney General Republican Party Ashley B. Moody

State legislature

Florida State Senate

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 12
     Republican Party 28
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 40

Florida House of Representatives

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 36
     Republican Party 84
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 120

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

Florida Party Control: 1992-2024
One year of a Democratic trifecta  •  Twenty-five years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R I R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
Senate D S S R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

District history

The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.

2022

See also: Florida's 9th Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Florida District 9

Incumbent Darren Soto defeated Scotty Moore in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 9 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Darren Soto
Darren Soto (D)
 
53.6
 
108,541
Image of Scotty Moore
Scotty Moore (R) Candidate Connection
 
46.4
 
93,827

Total votes: 202,368
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Incumbent Darren Soto advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 9.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 9

Scotty Moore defeated Jose Castillo, Adianis Morales, and Sergio Ortiz in the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 9 on August 23, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Scotty Moore
Scotty Moore Candidate Connection
 
55.9
 
16,971
Image of Jose Castillo
Jose Castillo Candidate Connection
 
24.8
 
7,537
Image of Adianis Morales
Adianis Morales Candidate Connection
 
13.1
 
3,969
Image of Sergio Ortiz
Sergio Ortiz
 
6.3
 
1,900

Total votes: 30,377
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2020

See also: Florida's 9th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Florida District 9

Incumbent Darren Soto defeated Bill Olson and Clay Hill in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 9 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Darren Soto
Darren Soto (D)
 
56.0
 
240,724
Image of Bill Olson
Bill Olson (R) Candidate Connection
 
44.0
 
188,889
Clay Hill (No Party Affiliation) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
25

Total votes: 429,638
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Incumbent Darren Soto advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 9.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 9

Bill Olson defeated Christopher Wright, Jose Castillo, and Sergio Ortiz in the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 9 on August 18, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Bill Olson
Bill Olson Candidate Connection
 
48.6
 
20,751
Image of Christopher Wright
Christopher Wright Candidate Connection
 
22.7
 
9,677
Image of Jose Castillo
Jose Castillo Candidate Connection
 
20.1
 
8,595
Image of Sergio Ortiz
Sergio Ortiz Candidate Connection
 
8.6
 
3,680

Total votes: 42,703
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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2018

See also: Florida's 9th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Florida District 9

Incumbent Darren Soto defeated Wayne Liebnitzky in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 9 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Darren Soto
Darren Soto (D)
 
58.0
 
172,172
Image of Wayne Liebnitzky
Wayne Liebnitzky (R)
 
42.0
 
124,565

Total votes: 296,737
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 9

Incumbent Darren Soto defeated Alan Grayson in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 9 on August 28, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Darren Soto
Darren Soto
 
66.4
 
36,586
Image of Alan Grayson
Alan Grayson
 
33.6
 
18,528

Total votes: 55,114
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 9

Wayne Liebnitzky advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 9 on August 28, 2018.

Candidate
Image of Wayne Liebnitzky
Wayne Liebnitzky

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates



See also

Florida 2024 primaries 2024 U.S. Congress elections
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External links

Footnotes

  1. A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
  2. These figures include the seat of Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.), who resigned on Nov. 13, 2024, after winning re-election.
  3. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  4. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  5. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  6. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  7. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  8. ABC 33/40, "Abortion, marijuana ballot measures may boost Florida voter turnout" accessed June 17, 2024
  9. USA Today, "Abortion, marijuana measures raise hope for Democrats in Trump's home state" accessed June 17, 2024
  10. WCJB, "Florida Democrats optimistic about election with abortion measure on November ballot" accessed June 17, 2024
  11. The New York Times, "Democrats See Glimmers of Hope in Florida. Are They Seeing Things?" accessed June 17, 2024
  12. NOTUS, "Republicans Think Abortion Rights Supporters Will Vote for Them Too" accessed June 21, 2024
  13. Floridians Protecting Freedom, "Home," accessed May 17, 2023
  14. Florida Voice for the Unborn, "Home," accessed December 21, 2023
  15. Average number of signatures required for all congressional districts. Petition signatures only required in lieu of a filing fee.
  16. Average number of signatures required for all congressional districts. Petition signatures only required in lieu of a filing fee.
  17. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  18. Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023


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