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Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District

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Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District
Incumbent
Assumed office: January 3, 2025

Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Kelly Morrison (D).

As of the 2020 Census, Minnesota representatives represented an average of 713,719 residents. After the 2010 Census, each member represented 664,360 residents.

Elections

2024

See also: Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024

Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024 (August 13 Republican primary)

Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024 (August 13 Democratic primary)

General election

General election for U.S. House Minnesota District 3

Kelly Morrison defeated Tad Jude in the general election for U.S. House Minnesota District 3 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kelly Morrison
Kelly Morrison (D)
 
58.4
 
240,209
Image of Tad Jude
Tad Jude (R) Candidate Connection
 
41.5
 
170,427
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
504

Total votes: 411,140
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Kelly Morrison advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 3.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

The Republican primary election was canceled. Tad Jude advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 3.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2022

See also: Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Minnesota District 3

Incumbent Dean Phillips defeated Tom Weiler in the general election for U.S. House Minnesota District 3 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Dean Phillips
Dean Phillips (D)
 
59.6
 
198,883
Image of Tom Weiler
Tom Weiler (R)
 
40.4
 
134,797
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
241

Total votes: 333,921
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Incumbent Dean Phillips advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 3.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

The Republican primary election was canceled. Tom Weiler advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 3.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2020

See also: Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Minnesota District 3

Incumbent Dean Phillips defeated Kendall Qualls in the general election for U.S. House Minnesota District 3 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Dean Phillips
Dean Phillips (D)
 
55.6
 
246,666
Image of Kendall Qualls
Kendall Qualls (R) Candidate Connection
 
44.3
 
196,625
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
312

Total votes: 443,603
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 3

Incumbent Dean Phillips defeated Cole Young in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 3 on August 11, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Dean Phillips
Dean Phillips
 
90.7
 
73,011
Image of Cole Young
Cole Young
 
9.3
 
7,443

Total votes: 80,454
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 3

Kendall Qualls defeated Leslie Davis in the Republican primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 3 on August 11, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kendall Qualls
Kendall Qualls Candidate Connection
 
75.9
 
25,405
Image of Leslie Davis
Leslie Davis
 
24.1
 
8,060

Total votes: 33,465
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2018

See also: Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Minnesota District 3

Dean Phillips defeated incumbent Erik Paulsen in the general election for U.S. House Minnesota District 3 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Dean Phillips
Dean Phillips (D)
 
55.6
 
202,404
Image of Erik Paulsen
Erik Paulsen (R)
 
44.2
 
160,839
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.2
 
706

Total votes: 363,949
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 3

Dean Phillips defeated Cole Young in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 3 on August 14, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Dean Phillips
Dean Phillips
 
81.6
 
56,677
Image of Cole Young
Cole Young
 
18.4
 
12,784

Total votes: 69,461
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 3

Incumbent Erik Paulsen advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 3 on August 14, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Erik Paulsen
Erik Paulsen
 
100.0
 
39,077

Total votes: 39,077
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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2016

See also: Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as a race to watch. Incumbent Erik Paulsen (R) defeated Terri Bonoff (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Neither candidate faced a primary opponent in August.[1][2]

U.S. House, Minnesota District 3 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngErik Paulsen Incumbent 56.7% 223,077
     Democratic Terri Bonoff 43% 169,243
     N/A Write-in 0.3% 1,144
Total Votes 393,464
Source: Minnesota Secretary of State

2014

See also: Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District elections, 2014

The 3rd Congressional District of Minnesota held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Erik Paulsen (R) defeated challenger Sharon Sund (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, Minnesota District 3 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngErik Paulsen Incumbent 62.1% 167,515
     Democratic Sharon Sund 37.8% 101,846
     N/A Write-in 0.1% 224
Total Votes 269,585
Source: Minnesota Secretary of State

General election candidates


August 12, 2014, primary results

Republican Party Republican Primary

Democratic Party Democratic Primary


2012

See also: Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District elections, 2012

The 3rd Congressional District of Minnesota held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012, which incumbent Erik Paulsen won.[4]

U.S. House, Minnesota District 3 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngErik Paulsen Incumbent 58.1% 222,335
     Democratic Brian Barnes 41.8% 159,937
     NA Write-in 0.1% 433
Total Votes 382,705
Source: Minnesota Secretary of State, "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election" (dead link)

2010
On November 2, 2010, Erik Paulsen (R) won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Jim Meffert (D) and Jon Oleson (Independence) in the general election.[5]

U.S. House, Minnesota District 3 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngErik Paulsen incumbent 58.8% 161,177
     Democratic Jim Meffert 36.6% 100,240
     Independence Jon Oleson 4.6% 12,508
     N/A Write-in 0.1% 167
Total Votes 274,092


2008
On November 4, 2008, Erik Paulsen (R) won election to the United States House. He defeated Ashwin Madia (D), David Dillon (Independence) and Harley Swarm, Jr. (Write-in) in the general election.[6]

U.S. House, Minnesota District 3 General Election, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngErik Paulsen 48.5% 178,932
     Democratic Ashwin Madia 40.9% 150,787
     Independence David Dillon 10.6% 38,970
     Write-in Harley Swarm, Jr. 0% 9
     N/A Write-in 0.1% 406
Total Votes 369,104


2006
On November 7, 2006, Jim Ramstad (R) won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Wendy Wilde (D) in the general election.[7]

U.S. House, Minnesota District 3 General Election, 2006
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJim Ramstad incumbent 64.9% 184,333
     Democratic Wendy Wilde 35% 99,588
     N/A Write-in 0.1% 323
Total Votes 284,244


2004
On November 2, 2004, Jim Ramstad (R) won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Deborah Watts (D) in the general election.[8]

U.S. House, Minnesota District 3 General Election, 2004
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJim Ramstad incumbent 73.7% 231,871
     Democratic Deborah Watts 26.2% 82,575
     N/A Write-in 0.1% 309
Total Votes 314,755


2002
On November 5, 2002, Jim Ramstad (R) won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Darryl Stanton (D) in the general election.[9]

U.S. House, Minnesota District 1 General Election, 2002
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJim Ramstad incumbent 72% 213,334
     Democratic Darryl Stanton 27.9% 82,575
     N/A Write-in 0.1% 309
Total Votes 296,218


2000
On November 7, 2000, Jim Ramstad (R) won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Sue Shuff (D), Bob Odden (L) and Arne Niska (Constitution) in the general election.[10]

U.S. House, Minnesota District 1 General Election, 2000
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJim Ramstad incumbent 67.6% 222,571
     Democratic Sue Shuff 29.8% 98,219
     Constitution Arne Niska 1.6% 5,302
     Libertarian Bob Odden 0.9% 2,970
Total Votes 329,062


District map

Redistricting

2020-2021

See also: Redistricting in Minnesota after the 2020 census

Minnesota enacted new congressional district boundaries on February 15, 2022, when a special judicial redistricting panel issued an order adopting final maps. In its unanimous order, the panel wrote, "To afford counties and municipalities time to complete local redistricting, the statutory deadline for completing congressional and legislative redistricting is '25 weeks before the state primary election in the year ending in two.' In this decennium, that date is February 15, 2022. That date has arrived, and the legislature has not yet enacted a congressional redistricting plan. To avoid delaying the electoral process, the panel must now act."[11]

After the panel issued their order, Dave Orrick of the Twin Cities Pioneer Press wrote, "The impacts of the new maps weren’t immediately clear...Since Minnesota averted losing a congressional seat, the state’s eight districts for U.S. House members don’t appear jarringly different from current maps."[12] Briana Bierschbach and Hunter Woodall wrote in the Star Tribune, “Under the new maps, the eighth Congressional district grew larger geographically to accommodate population declines in many rural counties.”[13]Kyle Brown of Saint Paul television station KSTP wrote, “The state’s current balance of four Republican and four Democratic representatives in the U.S. House could be thrown for a loop with a radical shift in geography for the 2nd Congressional District, which by far had the most competitive race in 2020.”[14]

How does redistricting in Minnesota work? In Minnesota, congressional and state legislative district boundaries are drawn by the Minnesota State Legislature. These lines are subject to veto by the governor.[15]

The Minnesota Constitution requires "that state Senate districts be contiguous, and that Representative districts be nested within Senate districts." State statutes apply contiguity requirements to all congressional and state legislative districts. Furthermore, state statutes stipulate that political subdivisions should not be divided "more than necessary."[15]

Minnesota District 3
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Minnesota District 3
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

2010-2011

This is the 3rd Congressional District of Minnesota after the 2001 redistricting process.
See also: Redistricting in Minnesota after the 2010 census

In 2011, the Minnesota State Legislature re-drew the congressional districts based on updated population information from the 2010 census.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

2024

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+8. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 8 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Minnesota's 3rd the 146th most Democratic district nationally.[16]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 59.5%-38.5%.[17]

2022

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+8. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 8 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Minnesota's 3rd the 144th most Democratic district nationally.[18]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 59.5% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 38.5%.[19]

2018

Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+1. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 1 percentage point more Democratic than the national average. This made Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District the 189th most Democratic nationally.[20]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.98. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.98 points toward that party.[21]

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. Minnesota Secretary of State, "Candidate Filings," accessed June 1, 2016
  2. Politico, "Minnesota House Primaries Results," August 9, 2016
  3. 3.0 3.1 Minnesota Secretary of State, "2014 State General Election Candidate Filings," accessed June 11, 2014
  4. ABC News, "General Election Results 2012-Minnesota," accessed November 7, 2012
  5. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
  6. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
  7. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
  8. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
  9. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
  10. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
  11. Minnesota Special Redistricting Panel, "Wattson v. Simon," February 15, 2022
  12. TwinCities.com, "MN redistricting: Judicial panel releases new maps," February 15, 2022
  13. StarTribune, "Minnesota courts release state's new redistricting plans." February 15, 2022
  14. KSTP.com, "Panel releases Minnesota’s new redistricting plans," February 15, 2022
  15. 15.0 15.1 All About Redistricting, "Minnesota," accessed May 4, 2015
  16. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  17. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  18. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  19. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  20. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  21. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
Tom Emmer (R)
District 7
District 8
Democratic Party (6)
Republican Party (4)