Recent climate observations compared to projections
- PMID: 17272686
- DOI: 10.1126/science.1136843
Recent climate observations compared to projections
Abstract
We present recent observed climate trends for carbon dioxide concentration, global mean air temperature, and global sea level, and we compare these trends to previous model projections as summarized in the 2001 assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The IPCC scenarios and projections start in the year 1990, which is also the base year of the Kyoto protocol, in which almost all industrialized nations accepted a binding commitment to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions. The data available for the period since 1990 raise concerns that the climate system, in particular sea level, may be responding more quickly to climate change than our current generation of models indicates.
Similar articles
-
Constraints on radiative forcing and future climate change from observations and climate model ensembles.Nature. 2002 Apr 18;416(6882):719-23. doi: 10.1038/416719a. Nature. 2002. PMID: 11961550
-
When could global warming reach 4°C?Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2011 Jan 13;369(1934):67-84. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2010.0292. Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2011. PMID: 21115513
-
Downscaling climate change scenarios in an urban land use change model.J Environ Manage. 2004 Aug;72(1-2):105-15. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2004.03.014. J Environ Manage. 2004. PMID: 15246577
-
The origin of climate changes.Rev Sci Tech. 2008 Aug;27(2):309-17. Rev Sci Tech. 2008. PMID: 18819661 Review.
-
Air quality research: perspective from climate change modelling research.Environ Int. 2003 Jun;29(2-3):253-61. doi: 10.1016/S0160-4120(02)00184-8. Environ Int. 2003. PMID: 12676212 Review.
Cited by
-
The Human Cost of Anthropogenic Global Warming: Semi-Quantitative Prediction and the 1,000-Tonne Rule.Front Psychol. 2019 Oct 16;10:2323. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2019.02323. eCollection 2019. Front Psychol. 2019. PMID: 31681113 Free PMC article.
-
Predicting potential global distributions of two Miscanthus grasses: implications for horticulture, biofuel production, and biological invasions.PLoS One. 2014 Jun 19;9(6):e100032. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0100032. eCollection 2014. PLoS One. 2014. PMID: 24945154 Free PMC article.
-
Future climate effects on suitability for growth of oil palms in Malaysia and Indonesia.Sci Rep. 2015 Sep 24;5:14457. doi: 10.1038/srep14457. Sci Rep. 2015. PMID: 26399638 Free PMC article.
-
Microhabitat selection by marine mesoconsumers in a thermally heterogeneous habitat: behavioral thermoregulation or avoiding predation risk?PLoS One. 2013 Apr 12;8(4):e61907. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0061907. Print 2013. PLoS One. 2013. PMID: 23593501 Free PMC article.
-
The future of the oceans past.Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2010 Nov 27;365(1558):3765-78. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2010.0278. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2010. PMID: 20980323 Free PMC article.
LinkOut - more resources
Full Text Sources