Chapter 7
Stocks and
Stock Valuation
Learning Objectives
1. Explain the basic characteristics of common
stock.
2. Define the primary market and the secondary
market.
3. Calculate the value of a stock given a history of
dividend payments.
4. Explain the shortcomings of the dividend pricing
models.
5. Calculate the price of preferred stock.
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1 share = 1 vote 1 share = 10 votes Stocks Vs Bond
Standard Super voting • maturity
• no maturity
• Owner • Debt holder
• Coupon bond
Pay debt -> preferred -> common • Dividends ( periodic fixed
variable income )
Preferred stock
• Payment after debt
• Fixed div
• No voting
ar
=
3 =
n(1 M +
7.1 Characteristics of Common
Stock
• Major financing vehicle for corporations
• Provides holders with an opportunity to
share in the future cash flows of the issuer.
• Holders have ownership in the company.
• Unlike bonds, no maturity date and
variable periodic income.
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7.1 (A) Ownership
• Share in the residual profits of the company.
• Claim to all its assets and cash flow once
the creditors, employees, suppliers, and
taxes are paid off.
• Voting rights
– participate in the management of the company
– elect the board of directors which selects the
management team that runs the company’s day-
to-day operations.
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7.1 (B) Claim on Assets and
Cash Flow (Residual Claim)
• In case of liquidation…
Shareholders have a claim on the residual assets
and cash flow of the company.
Known as “residual” rights.
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7.1 (C) Vote (Voice in
Management)
• Standard voting rights: Typically, one vote
per share provided to shareholders to vote
in board elections and other key changes to
the charter and bylaws.
• Can be altered by issuing several classes of
stock.
– Non-voting stock, which is usually for a
temporary period of time,
– Super voting rights, which provide the holders
with multiple votes per share, increasing their
influence and control over the company.
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7.1 (D) No Maturity Date
• Considered to be permanent financing
• Infinite life, i.e. no maturity date
• No promised date when investment is
returned.
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7.2 Stock Markets
Stocks are traded in two types of markets;
1. the primary or “first sale” market, and the
2. secondary or “after-sale” market,
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7.3 Stock Valuation
• Value of a share of stock ➔the present
value of its expected future cash flow…
– Cash dividends paid (if any).
– Future selling price of the stock.
– The discount rate i.e. risk-appropriate rate of
return to be earned on the investment.
• No guaranteed cash flow information.
• No maturity date.
• Valuation is more of an “art” than a science.
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7.3 Stock Valuation (continued)
Table 7.1 Differences between Bonds and
Stocks
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7.3 Stock Valuation (continued)
Example 1: Stock price with known
dividends and sale price.
Agnes wants to purchase common stock of New
Frontier Inc. and hold it for 3 years. The
directors of the company just announced that
they expect to pay an annual cash dividend of
$4.00 per share for the next 5 years. Agnes
believes that she will be able to sell the stock
for $40 at the end of three years. In order to
earn 12% on this investment, how much should
Agnes pay for this stock?
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7.3 Stock Valuation (continued)
Example 1 Answer
1
1 − n
Price = Future Price
1
+ Dividend Stream (1 + r )
(1+ r )n r
1
1 −
1 (1+ 0.12 )4
Price = $40.00
4
+ $4.00
(1+ 0.12 )
0.12
Price = $40.00 x 0.635518 + $4.00 x 3.03734
Price = $25.42 + $12.149 = $37.57
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7.3 Stock Valuation (continued)
4 variations of a dividend pricing model have
been used to value common stock
1. The constant dividend model with an infinite
horizon
2. The constant dividend model with a finite
horizon
3. The constant growth dividend model with a
finite horizon
4. The constant growth dividend model with an
infinite horizon
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Dividend Valuation Model
• Where,
• = Price of stock today;
• D = Dividend for each year;
• = the required rate of return for common stock (discount
rate).
• This formula, with modifications is generally applied to
three different situations:
– No growth in dividends.
– Constant growth in dividends.
– Variable growth in dividends.
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No Growth in Dividends
• The common stock pays a constant dividend as in the case of a
preferred stock.
• This is not a very popular option.
• Where,
• = Price of the common stock; = Current annual common stock
dividend (constant); = Required rate of return for common stock.
• Assuming = $1,86 and = 12%, the price of the stock would be:
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Constant Growth in Dividends
• The general valuation process is shown:
• Where,
• = Price of common stock today;
• = Dividend in year 1, ;
• = Dividend in year 2, , and so on;
• g = Constant growth rate in dividends;
• = Required rate of return for common stock (discount rate).
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Constant Growth Dividend Valuation
Model
• Where:
• = Price of the stock today;
• = Dividend at the end of the first year;
• = Required rate of return (discount rate);
• g = Constant growth rate in dividends.
• Based on the current example; = $2.00; = .12; g = .07.
is computed as:
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7.3 (A) The Constant Dividend
Model with an Infinite Horizon
Assumes that the firm is paying the same dividend
amount in perpetuity.
i.e. Div1 = Div2 = Div3 = Div4 = Div5 = Div∞
For perpetuities,
PV = PMT/r
where r the required rate and PMT is the cash flow.
Thus, for a stock that is expected to pay the same
dividend forever,
Price = Dividend/Required rate of return
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7.3 (A) The Constant Dividend Model
with an Infinite Horizon (continued)
Example 2. Quarterly dividends forever
Let’s say that the Peak Growth Company is paying a
quarterly dividend of $0.50 and has decided to pay the
same amount forever. If Joe wants to earn an annual
rate of return of 12% on this investment, how much
should he offer to buy the stock at?
Answer
Quarterly dividend = $0.50
Quarterly rate of return = Annual rate/4= 12%/4 = 3%
PV = Quarterly dividend/Quarterly rate of return
Price = 0.50/.03 = $16.67
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7.3 (C) The Constant Growth Dividend
Model with an Infinite Horizon (cont’d)
QuickFix Enterprises’ Annual Dividends
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
$0.50 $0.55 $0.61 $0.67 $0.73 $0.81 $0.89 $0.98 $1.08 $1.25
Required rate of return = 14%
Compound growth rate “g” = (FV/PV) 1/n -1
Where FV = $1.25; PV = 0.50; n = 9
g = (1.25/0.50)1/9 – 1 ➔10.72%
Div1 = Div0(1+g)➔$1.25*(1.1072)➔$1.384
P0 = Div1/(r-g) ➔ $1.384/(.14-.1072)➔$42.19
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7.4 Dividend Model
Shortcomings
• Need future cash flow estimates and a required rate of return,
therefore difficult to apply universally.
– Erratic dividend patterns,
– Long periods of no dividends,
– Declining dividend trends
• Need a pricing model that is more inclusive than the dividend
model, one that can estimate expected returns for stocks
without the need for a stable dividend history.
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7.5 Preferred Stock
Pays constant dividend as long as the stock is outstanding.
Typically has infinite maturity, but some are convertible into
common stock at some pre-determined ratio.
Have “preferred status” over common stockholders in the case
of dividend payments and liquidation payouts.
Dividends can be cumulative or non-cumulative
To calculate the price of preferred stock, we use the PV of a
perpetuity equation, i.e. Price 0 = PMT/r
PMT = Annual dividend (dividend rate * par value); and
r = investor’s required rate of return.
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